• ISSN: 1674-7461
  • CN: 11-5823/TU
  • 主管:中国科学技术协会
  • 主办:中国图学学会
  • 承办:中国建筑科学研究院有限公司

基于ConvLSTM的隧道路面性能预测模型

Tunnel Pavement Performance Prediction Model Based on ConvLSTM

  • 摘要: 隧道路面的性能是影响隧道内交通安全的关键因素之一。随着中国隧道规模的不断扩大,道路性能预测问题受到广泛关注。本研究聚焦于隧道路面性能预测,通过分析影响隧道路面性能的关键因素,设计了一种基于ConvLSTM(卷积长短期记忆网络)的深度学习模型。该模型充分挖掘了运维数据的时间和空间特征,在预测隧道路面平整度方面表现出色。模型预测的结果显示,均方误差约为0.7,而平均绝对误差低至约0.2,决定系数则超过了0.90。这一结果强有力地证实了模型的有效性和精确度。本研究为隧道路面养护决策提供了有力支持,并为进一步优化隧道路面管理和服务质量奠定了基础。

     

    Abstract: The performance of tunnel pavements is one of the key factors affecting traffic safety in tunnels. With the continuous expansion of the scale of tunnels in China, the issue of pavement performance prediction has received widespread attention. This paper focuses on the prediction of tunnel pavement performance by analyzing key factors that influence it and designs a deep learning model based on ConvLSTM (Convolutional Long Short-Term Memory). The model effectively captures both temporal and spatial features from operational data, demonstrating superior performance in predicting tunnel pavement smoothness. The Mean Squared Error (MSE) of the predicted value is around 0.7, with a Mean Absolute Error (MAE) as low as 0.2, and the Coefficient of Determination (R2) is over 0.90, confirming the effectiveness and accuracy of the model. This study provides robust support for tunnel pavement maintenance decision-making and lays the foundation for further optimizing tunnel pavement management and service quality.

     

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