• ISSN: 1674-7461
  • CN: 11-5823/TU
  • 主管:中国科学技术协会
  • 主办:中国图学学会
  • 承办:中国建筑科学研究院有限公司

基于工期-成本双驱动的高速公路建设期信息化管理系统研究

Research on Informatization Management System for Expressway Construction Based on Schedule-Cost Dual-driven Mechanism

  • 摘要: 鉴于当前高速公路建设期普遍面临工期压缩与成本超支的双重压力,本文研发了一种工期-成本双驱动信息化管理系统,攻克了工期与成本动态耦合管理的技术难题。通过融合关键链法(CCPM)与挣值分析(EVM)理论框架,构建动态耦合数学模型,量化二者非线性叠加风险; 建立双核驱动二维矩阵模型,实现风险等级四象限精细化划分(红/橙/黄/蓝),支持管理策略精准匹配。基于分层架构设计“基础设施-数据-业务-应用-安全”5层系统框架,集成LSTM-ARIMA混合算法提升工期/成本预测精度,应用区块链技术固化计量支付规则,并依托轻量化交互界面(微信小程序、方言语音识别≥92%)降低使用门槛。实证研究表明,该系统突破了传统管理壁垒,实现工期与成本动态协同控制,为高速公路建设数字化转型提供可量化、可拓展的实施路径。

     

    Abstract: In light of the prevalent dual pressures of compressed construction durations and cost overruns commonly encountered during the construction phase of expressways, an information-based management system driven by both construction period and cost is developed. This system has successfully addressed the technical challenges associated with the dynamic coupled management of construction period and cost. By integrating the theoretical frameworks of the Critical Chain Project Management (CCPM) and Earned Value Analysis (EVM), a dynamic coupling mathematical model is formulated. This model serves to quantify the non-linear superposition risks of construction period and cost. Additionally, a two-dimensional matrix model with dual-core driving mechanisms iis established. This model enables a refined classification of risk levels into four quadrants (red, orange, yellow, and blue), thereby facilitating the precise matching of management strategies. Based on a hierarchical architecture design, a five-tier system framework encompassing 'infrastructure, data, business, application, and security' is proposed. The integration of the LSTM-ARIMA hybrid algorithm within this framework enhances the prediction accuracy of construction period and cost. Moreover, blockchain technology is applied to solidify the rules of measurement and payment. Relying on a lightweight interactive interface (WeChat mini-program with dialect voice recognition accuracy of no less than 92%), the system significantly reduces the usage threshold. Empirical studies indicate that this system effectively transcends traditional management barriers and realizes the dynamic coordinated control of construction period and cost. As a result, The proposed method offers a quantifiable and scalable implementation pathway for the digital transformation of expressway construction.

     

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